Pantera Capital: Bitcoin price could reach $117,000 in August 2025

Pantera Capital, one of the largest capitals in the cryptocurrency world, released a letter to investors in May on its official website yesterday (8th), in which they mentioned their price predictions for Bitcoin after the fourth halving.

They analyzed the price impact of each halving on Bitcoin since the first halving in 2013, and used the stock-to-flow ratio (S2F) of Bitcoin during each halving. Changes serve as the basis for price prediction models.

Note: The inventory-to-flow ratio model is based on the total existing inventory or reserve (stock) of the asset divided by the total annual production (flow) of the asset. The higher the ratio of inventory to flow, the higher the asset valuation, which is to measure asset value based on "scarcity."

The price of Bitcoin in August 2025 will be $117,000

According to this model, Pantera predicted that Bitcoin would be at $17,000 in November 2022 The US dollar bottomed (and a few weeks later, Bitcoin bottomed around $16,000) and began to rebound just before the fourth halving, which was at $28,169, and after the halving in August 2025 Reaching a peak of $117,000 (estimated based on the average duration of previous halving rally cycles). Pantera said: Over the past eleven years, the Pantera Bitcoin Fund has almost doubled on average, and it is easy to imagine that the price of Bitcoin will reach $117,000 in 2025.

Pantera predicted that the BTC bull market peak would reach $148,000 last year

However, it is worth noting that the price of BTC predicted by the model on the day of the fourth halving was $28,168, which was far lower than the actual price. On the one hand, their predictions can be said to be distorted; on the other hand, they may be relatively conservative.

In addition, since the institution itself is a crypto venture capital firm and strongly hopes to see a general rise in the cryptocurrency market, the prediction may also be biased towards Lao Wang's selling and boasting. Investors must still be careful about risks and verify carefully.

Returning to the current price, Bitcoin tested a nearly one-week low of $60,888 this morning and was temporarily trading at $61,556 at the time of writing, down 1.8% in the past 24 hours.

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