Bitcoin (BTC) Market Analysis and Trading Strategy on May 14, 2025

In the current market environment, the fundamental thing about trading is survival, followed by returns. Before each operation, be sure to think about whether your operation is reasonable and whether the principal is safe. Establishing a set of your own trading ideas and continuously optimizing and improving them is the key to long-term and stable operation.

Bitcoin is currently priced at $104,300, at 4 a.m. Beijing time. The idea given in the trading session yesterday was that the market returned to yesterday's starting point today. The main force tried to extend the cycle in the top consolidation by washing the market back and forth and absorbing funds. This fluctuation provides enough room for short-term operations.

Judging from the daily chart, the price consolidated at a high level, reaching a maximum of US$105,000 and a minimum of US$101,400. Currently, the fast-line support of EMA15 has approached the $100,000 mark, and the price is expected to be sideways in this area. The MACD indicator shows a top divergence and a large volume decreases, indicating that there is a demand for a rebound in the market. At this stage, investors should avoid chasing the rise, but should try positions at high levels and wait for the opportunity for the main force to liquidate.

The four-hour chart shows a clear top divergence, and the price may rise first and then fall back. Currently, the K-line is located near the EMA15 trend line and the price is $103,300. After MACD continuously shrinks in volume, DIF and DEA shrink, and the short-term top divergence has passed two-thirds of the market. The Bollinger band begins to close after stretching and diffusion, with the upper rail pressure level focusing on $105,300, and the lower rail support focusing on $101,700. Judging from this trend, the entry point and defensive point of short selling have been basically determined.

Short-term trading strategy:

Without 100% sure, safety comes first, and small losses and big profits are the goal. Especially when the price breaks through the key pressure and support levels, it is necessary to stop the loss in time and do not resist orders.

• Northbound trial position: entry point is 101,000 to 100,500 US dollars, defensive position is 100,000 US dollars, stop loss is 500 points, and the target is 102,000 to 103,000 US dollars. If it breaks further, it can be seen 104,000 US dollars.
• Southbound trial position: entry point is 105,000 to 105,500 US dollars, defensive position is 105,800 US dollars, stop loss is 500 points, and the target is 103,000 to 102,500 US dollars. If it breaks further, it can be seen 102,000 US dollars.

The specific operation should be based on real-time trading data. There may be delays in the publication of the article. It is recommended that it be for reference only. Investment must bear the risks at your own expense.

Summary and risk warning:

The current Bitcoin market is in a high-level consolidation stage, and the characteristics of top-level absorption and top-level divergence are obvious. Short-term operations should be cautious, strictly set stop loss to ensure the safety of the principal. The market is full of uncertainty, and investors need to bear the risks themselves and operate with caution. I hope everyone can achieve financial freedom in 2025, come on!

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