Nintendo Predicts Switch 2 Will Sell Better Than The Original In Its First Year

Despite a controversial launch and subsequent backlash, Nintendo projects robust sales for the Nintendo Switch 2, exceeding its predecessor's first-year performance. Pre-orders, initially delayed due to global tariffs and market fluctuations, opened April 24th, with direct Nintendo pre-orders beginning later. Despite a higher-than-anticipated price point, Nintendo remains confident.

According to VGC, Nintendo anticipates selling 15 million Switch 2 units and 45 million games by March 2026, surpassing the original Switch's sub-15 million unit sales in its first year. The original Switch benefited from three additional months on the market.

High Sales Projections Despite Challenges

The Switch 2 pre-order launch, plagued by website crashes, payment issues, and limited stock, was widely criticized. However, Nintendo maintains ambitious sales projections. In the previous fiscal year (ending March 2024), 10.8 million Switch units were sold, bringing the lifetime sales to approximately 152.1 million—Nintendo's second-best-selling console after the Nintendo DS.

Switch 2 Game Cards Compatible with Switch 1

Confirming information from the publisher's Q&A for Rune Factory: Guardians of Azuma, Switch 2 game cartridges will also function on the original Switch.

With strong initial pre-order sales, concerns surrounding the $80 price tag for Mario Kart World and the use of Game-Key Cards (requiring downloads for full gameplay) may prove less impactful than anticipated. While these are projections, Nintendo's outlook appears positive.

Ambitious Goals, Potential for Success

The Switch 2 faces a shorter initial sales window compared to the original Switch. Despite criticism of Game-Key Cards, pricing, and other aspects, high demand suggests a successful launch. While precise pre-order figures remain unavailable, Nintendo's reported inability to meet Japanese demand points towards a strong start. Whether the Switch 2 will meet or exceed Nintendo's ambitious sales targets remains to be seen.

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