2025 Ethereum Gas Fee Trend: Latest Data and Trend Forecasts

Ethereum Gas fees are expected to continue to decline in 2025. 1) In the short term, the use of Layer 2 solutions and the increase in Gas cap will keep the fees low, but market volatility may lead to a brief increase. 2) In the medium term, Ethereum upgrade, macroeconomic and regulatory impacts will stabilize costs. 3) In the long run, technological innovation and market competition are expected to further reduce gas fees.

Here are the latest data and trend forecasts for Ethereum Gas Fee in 2025:

Latest data 7

Total Ethereum expenses fell 59.6% to $208 million in the first quarter of 2025. This decline coincides with a 49% decline in Ethereum price, with its market value down by $170 billion. According to IntoTheBlock, the drop in fees is related to a significant increase in the Ethereum Gas cap and the continued transfer of activity to the Layer 2 solution. In addition, on March 19, 2025, the Ethereum Gas fee was reduced to 5Gwei, and the Layer2 solutions Arbitrum and Optimism transactions accounted for more than 60%.

Trend Forecast

• Short-term trends
  • There is a high possibility of continuous decline: Layer 2 solutions such as Arbitrum and Optimism currently process more than 60% of Ethereum transactions, and with the continuous maturity of technology and the promotion of applications, more transactions will be transferred to the Layer 2 network, thereby reducing the burden on the main network and keeping the Gas fee at a low level 3. At the same time, the increase in the Gas cap on Ethereum can also alleviate network congestion to a certain extent and reduce Gas fees 7.
  • Affected by market volatility: If there is explosive growth in the popular DeFi project or NFT market in the short term, it may lead to a sudden increase in on-chain transaction demand, and there is a possibility of a brief increase in Gas fees1. For example, if a new popular NFT series is released and a large number of users participate in the transaction will cause network congestion and gas fees will increase, but this situation is usually temporary.
• Medium-term trend
  • As upgrades gradually stabilize: Ethereum upgrades such as Dencun upgrades will reduce Rollup costs by 90%, which will further promote the development of Layer 2, making Gas fees expected to remain stable and at a relatively low level in the medium term3. At the same time, the continuous advancement of Ethereum 2.0 will also improve network performance from the underlying architecture and optimize the Gas fee mechanism.
  • Affected by macroeconomic and regulatory: Changes in the global macroeconomic environment and adjustments to cryptocurrency regulatory policies by various countries will affect investors' willingness to invest and use Ethereum. If the macroeconomic situation is unstable, investors may reduce trading activities in cryptocurrencies, resulting in a decline in Gas fees; and if regulatory policies become stricter, it may affect the development of the Ethereum ecosystem and in turn have an indirect impact on Gas fees.
• Long-term trends
  • It is expected to be further reduced: With the continuous development and improvement of the Ethereum ecosystem, technological innovation will continue to drive the reduction of Gas fees. For example, the application of technologies such as zero-knowledge proof is expected to further reduce transaction costs while improving transaction privacy. At the same time, the development of cross-chain technology may also enable Ethereum to achieve better collaboration with other public chains, disperse the transaction pressure of single chains, thereby reducing the Gas fee of 1.
  • Depend on market demand and competition: If Ethereum can maintain its leading position in the blockchain field and attract more developers and users, the increase in market demand may put some upward pressure on Gas fees. But at the same time, competition from other public chains may also prompt Ethereum to continuously optimize itself to maintain Gas fee competitiveness.

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