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UFC 314 Predictions: Can Jim Miller Pull Off The Upset Win In Miami?

Apr 10, 2025 am 10:47 AM

Jim Miller: The Underdog with a Puncher's Chance at UFC 314

This Saturday night at the Kaseya Center, a grizzled veteran faces a daunting challenge: Jim Miller, the underdog in a stacked card, takes on Chase Hooper. While the odds may be against him, I predict an upset victory for Miller. Let's break down the matchup.

UFC 314 Predictions: Can Jim Miller Pull Off The Upset Win In Miami?

Chase Hooper has evolved from a promising newcomer to a seasoned fighter. His world-class Jiu-Jitsu is complemented by significantly improved striking. His unorthodox style, once a weakness, is now an asset. After a successful regional career, Hooper boasts a 7-3 UFC record, currently riding a four-fight win streak against notable opponents like Nick Fiore, Jordan Leavitt, Viacheslav Borshchev, and Clay Guida. This winning streak, particularly the Guida victory, positions Hooper as a potential "legend killer," reminiscent of Anthony Smith's pre-title shot run in 2019.

However, Miller, at 41, isn't ready to fade away. Rebounding from a loss to King Green at UFC 300, he secured a first-round submission win over Damon Jackson at UFC 309. Can he overcome a fifteen-year age gap and a surging opponent? I believe so.

While Hooper's striking has improved, it's not on par with King Green's speed advantage that exploited Miller's weaknesses. Hooper's striking defense (37%) suggests he's vulnerable. Although Hooper possesses a significant height (6'1" vs. Miller's 5'8"), Miller's longer-than-average reach for his height and likely strength advantage mitigate this. Miller's solid boxing technique further levels the playing field.

UFC 314 Predictions: Can Jim Miller Pull Off The Upset Win In Miami?

On the ground, Hooper is a submission wizard. However, submitting Miller will be a monumental task. In his 57-fight career, Miller has only been submitted three times (by Nate Diaz, Michael Chiesa, and Charles Oliveira), and not in nearly seven years (14 fights). Hooper will likely need to dominate with top control or inflict significant damage to win.

I predict a surprising, yet reasoned, split-decision victory for Miller.

Here's a look at the full UFC 314 fight card:

  • Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopes – UFC Featherweight Championship
  • Michael Chandler vs. Paddy Pimblett – Lightweight
  • Bryce Mitchell vs. Jean Silva – Featherweight
  • Yair Rodriguez vs. Patricio Pitbull – Featherweight
  • Nikita Krylov vs. Dominick Reyes – Light Heavyweight
  • Dan Ige vs. Sean Woodson – Featherweight
  • Virna Jandiroba vs. Xiaonan Yan – Strawweight
  • Chase Hooper vs. Jim Miller – Lightweight
  • Darren Elkins vs. Julian Erosa – Featherweight
  • Sedriques Dumas vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk – Middleweight
  • Sumudaerji vs. Mitch Raposo – Flyweight
  • Tresean Gore vs. Marco Tulio – Middleweight
  • Nora Cornolle vs. Hailey Cowan – Women’s Bantamweight

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