Asian Stocks May Struggle as China Measures Underwhelm, Bitcoin Tops $81,000

- Asian stocks may struggle in early trading after Chinese economic measures underwhelmed and the release of anemic inflation data over the weekend. Bitcoin topped $81,000 after President-elect Donald Trump took a clean sweep of the seven US battleground states.

Asian stocks may struggle in early trading after underwhelming Chinese economic measures and anemic inflation data over the weekend, while Bitcoin topped $81,000 after President-elect Donald Trump took a clean sweep of the seven US battleground states.

Australian shares fell and futures in Tokyo and Hong Kong signaled losses after China’s 10 trillion yuan ($1.4 billion) plan to help local governments deal with hidden debt stopped short of including new measures to boost domestic demand. US futures edged higher after the S&P 500 rose 0.4% on Friday to cap stocks’ best week this year in anticipation of Trump’s pro-growth agenda.

A softer start is expected in Asia after the region’s stocks jumped 2.4% last week amid improved sentiment following the Federal Reserve’s rate cut and hopes for more stimulus in China. Investors are now shifting to assess how quickly Trump will implement his fiscal and protectionist trade policies, including proposed tariffs on China.

“The market’s next move will hinge on whether Trump prioritizes cutting taxes or raising tariffs, each having vastly different impact,” Tony Sycamore, an IG Markets analyst in Sydney, wrote in a note. “This clarification may still be months away and it’s worth remembering that back in 2016, Trump’s first move was to cut taxes which sent stock markets surging before tariffs on China caused headwinds.”

Bitcoin surged past $81,000 for the first time in early Asia hours, after hitting a record $80,000 on Sunday, fueled by the incoming president’s support for digital assets and the election of pro-crypto lawmakers.

Meantime, sentiment toward China is faltering as foreign direct investment slumps amid geopolitical tensions, competition from domestic industries and concerns over the nation’s economic outlook. Consumer inflation eased closer to zero in October, suggesting the government’s latest round of stimulus is far from sufficient to free the economy from the grip of deflation.

“Many feel that China is keeping its tactical powder in play for such time as the Trump-China tariff negotiations build, and they can respond in a more targeted fashion to stem the likely economic fallout,” Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone Group in Melbourne, wrote in a note. “In the short-term, however, it does suggest downside risk to China/Hong Kong equity and the yuan.”

The dollar edged higher against major peers in early Asian trading, extending last week’s gain amid concerns that Trump’s fiscal policies will stoke inflation. While the US Treasury yield curve flattened Friday, firms including BlackRock, JPMorgan Chase, and TCW Group are warning that the bond market selloff is likely far from over. Cash Treasuries are closed Monday for a holiday.

Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari indicated at the weekend the central bank could ease rates less than previously expected amid a strong US economy. Kashkari emphasized, however, that it’s too early to determine the impact of Trump’s policies.

Oil was little changed near $70 a barrel in early Asian trading after falling 2.7% on Friday amid disappointment over China’s stimulus measures. Gold was steady.

This week, traders will be parsing data from Australian jobs to Chinese retail sales and industrial production, inflation from the US and Eurozone as well as growth readings in the UK and Japan. A swath of Federal Reserve officials are scheduled to speak which may help indicate the central bank’s thinking following the election result.

Some of the major moves in markets:

Stocks

Nikkei futures fell 0.2%

Topix futures lost 0.1%

S&P 500 futures rose 0.1%

Nasdaq 100 futures gained 0.1%

Australian equities decreased 0.3%

Hong Kong futures declined 0.3%

Shanghai Composite down 0.1%

MSCI All-Country World Index futures were steady

Currencies

Dollar Index advanced 0.1% to 94.206

Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.1%

Euro slipped 0.1% to $1.0866

Yen was flat at 113.81 per dollar

Offshore yuan gained 0.1% to 7.0108 against the dollar

Cryptocurrencies

Bitcoin soared 0.6% to $81,184.9

Ethereum gained 0.2% to $2,226.08

Bonds

Indicative 10-year Treasury yields were steady at 1.62%

Australia’s 3-year yield decreased two basis points to 0.85%

Commodities

West Texas Intermediate crude was at $70.03 a barrel

Brent crude steadied at $73.68 a barrel

Gold was at $1,768

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